Samsung SmartPhone & Memory Business Still Looking Up

Samsung Mobile and Memory Business GrowsSamsung Mobile, the leader in Android based SmartPhones continues to ride high differentiation options despite device exhaustion. Despite market concerns of commoditization / standardization (drastic margin erosion) of the high-end smartphone segment amid saturation, Samsung is confident that it can sustain high-end leadership with leading-edge in-house components (unbreakable flexible display, advanced mobile AP along with mobile memory solution).

Samsung believes economies of scale will work for cost leadership even in the mid- to low-end segment. We expect Samsung will monetize fast smartphone growth, leveraging on its well-established distribution channel in its existing feature phone business and strong brand power in high-end smartphones.

Samsung SemiConductors & Storage Memory for Mobiles
Samsung also expects more sustainable favorable memory industry dynamics given disciplined supply growth amid a consolidated structure. Samsung informed us today it had started commercial production of its V-NAND (3D NAND) products, which are intended to complement its portfolio of 20nm- and 10nm-class planar NAND products. We expect initial production of V-NAND in 2H13 to primarily serve sampling purposes, and continue to expect a bigger ramp in 2014, as Samsung’s new China fab enters production. Samsung noted its V-NAND utilizes the company’s proprietary vertical cell structure based on 3D Charge Trap Flash technology with vertical interconnects to link the 3D array. According to Samsung, V-NAND would be 2x-to-10x more reliable than 10nm-class NAND, while delivering 2x the write performance. We think such attributes could enable V-NAND to be successfully used in Enterprise SSDs as well.

Given increasing memory industry capital intensity (decelerating technology migration/chip shrinkage effect), we expect Samsung’s recent memory CAPEX increase will not disrupt industry.