Despite ample supply at the 14 February auction, prices in 1,800 MHz reached INR 22.7bn/MHz, 29% over the reserve price. Prices for 900 MHz in Mumbai/Delhi Kolkata rose an average 2.3x the 1,800 MHz price. Both prices were higher than we anticipated. Demand shot up mainly because of (1) incumbents’ eagerness to corner 1,800 MHz for 4G / LTE and de-risk their 900 MHz holdings; (2) Reliance Jio’s demand for 5.0-6.6 MHz across 14 Metro / A-category circles. Reliance Jio Infocomm’s entry is not worrisome, but the industry may have overpaid for data potential.
Idea Cellular’s Love for 900Mhz Spectrum
Though Idea’s acquisition of 5 MHz in the 900 MHz band in Delhi makes it slightly better positioned for 3G data, the company is still short of data spectrum, in our view, despite aggressive participation in the 1,800 MHz band auctions. We also think that Idea has tried to de-risk the upcoming 900 MHz auctions in its key